Sunday, July 31, 2011

Poker Probabilities - Calculated

Post watching Casino Royale, again got the urge of completing Poker Chapter.

Calculated all the probabilities taking assistance from wikipedia, in some cases.

I believe the core strategy in game should be core game and probabilities. And then you should take assistance from competitors expressions.

So primarily it has to be core game.

And Core game consists of three parts, 2-Card start, then prob. of sequences in 5 card game and finally prob. of combination of 2+5, where u know u r initial hand.

Have calculated prob. for first two steps

Step1 - 2 Card prob.

Total Hands(2 Cards)
Pocket pairs=============== 5.882
Suited===================== 23.529
Un Suited================== 70.588

++++++++++++++++++++
%age
AK(Specific Suit)+++++++++++++++++ 0.302
AA(or spec pair)++++++++++++++++++ 0.452
AK+KQ+QJ+JT++++++++++++++++++++++ 1.207
AA+KK+QQ+JJ++++++++++++++++++++++ 1.810
Suited Cards, Jack or better+++++ 1.810
Suited Connectors++++++++++++++++ 3.922
Connected Cards, 10 or better++++ 4.827
Any 2 cars with rank atleast queen 4.977
Any 2 cars with rank atleast Jack 9.050
Any 2 cars with rank atleast Ten+ 14.329
Connected Cards++++++++++++++++++ 15.686
Any 2 cars with rank atleast Nine 20.814
Not connected not suited, at least 2-9 53.400

+++++++++++++++++++=


Step 2
5 Card probabilities

Final Prob %age

High Card==============49.8746
1 Pair=================42.2569
2-2 pair=============== 4.7539
3 of a kind============ 2.1849
Straight=============== 0.3925
Flush================== 0.1965
Full House============= 0.1441
Four of a kind========= 0.0240
Royal Flush============ 0.0015

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Still need to come up with combination of the two.

Cheers(feeling happy that was able to calculate probabilities of all th combinations after long long time)

No comments: